For this analysis, we have done the same. For Bordeaux wines Liv-ex, for example, uses the scores of Robert Parker until 2012 and Neal Martin after that.
This variabilty is a known fact by the trade, and that is why most professionals rely on benchmark critics. That is why many critics give ratings for these wines in a bracket of 1 or 2 points, to be revised when the wine is put into bottles (Check our comparative analysis to gather more details about score variability for Bordeaux 2019). This is particularly true for En Primeur wines, which are tasted from barrels, after a few months from the harvest. And this variability can exist even for the same critic when he or she tastes the wines in subsequent tasting sessions. And that is where we face the first hurdle: wine scores are not an exact science, and there can be a wide variability of scores for the same wine of the same vintage from different wine critics. Simple question, which requires a less simple answer.įirst of all, how do you measure if a prediction model is working or not? Usually, you compare the predicted and observed values, of course. We could spend some time explaining the rationale behind our proprietary method (and we have actually done it in many ways, for example click here to read the demonstration page of Saturnalia on the European Space Agency site, or click here to see how our demos for growers and companies actually work), but in the end everyone wonders: does it work or not? This is due to several factors: a rather large number of individual Châteaux consistently producing high quality output terroir-driven wines wines that are highly relevant for the market and that are regularly tasted by a large number of wine critics. So far, we have been focusing our attention on Bordeaux. Since Saturnalia inception, we have been asked many questions about our predictive models, and particularly our satellite-based prediction model of wine scores, which come out soon after harvest, and before any critic has the chance to actually taste the wines.
#SATURNALIA 2018 PDF#
Even more may emerge as the campaign season for the 2020 election heats up.You can download this analysis as a PDF file by filling the form at the end of the page. The incumbent president and many other politicians of both parties are formidable candidates, indeed. This year, as usual, we have no shortage of strong applicants for the position of Lord of Misrule. Drinking, noise and games and dice, appointing of kings and feasting of slaves, singing naked, clapping of frenzied hands, an occasional ducking of corked faces in icy water-such are the functions over which I preside." In the Saturnalia, Lucian relates that "During My week the serious is barred no business allowed. Slaves were treated as equals, allowed to wear their masters' clothing, and be waited on at meal time in remembrance of an earlier golden age thought to have been ushered in by the god. Within the family, a Lord of Misrule was chosen. Slaves were permitted to use dice and did not have to work. The Encyclopedia Romana has a helpful description of Saturnalia:ĭuring the holiday, restrictions were relaxed and the social order inverted. But, by blogging standards, that's a truly ancient tradition indeed. Admittedly, it's only a tradition in so far as I have put up a post about it every December 17 for the last several years. Today is Saturnalia, an ancient Roman holiday with a long tradition here at the Volokh Conspiracy, which we are now continuing at our new home with Reason.
0 kommentar(er)
